With an overall record of 98-95, including 6-10 last week, TSN football analyst Chris Schultz is back with his Week 14 NFL selections in Risky Business. Dallas (-3.5) at Chicago Both teams have talent on offence and concerns on defence. In the last two games, Dallas has allowed 61 points, not on big plays but more on long drives. For Chicago, they have allowed 30 or more points in five games this year and were outscored 31-3 by Detroit in the final three quarters on Thanksgiving. Neither team has a preparation advantage but Dallas is playing for the playoffs and Chicago is just playing. Cowboys Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (-3) Cincinnati controls its own destiny with games against Pittsburgh, at Cleveland, Denver and the final game of the year at Pittsburgh. I am sure there are concerns in Cincinnati as a one-point win over Tampa Bay is unimpressive but, in the two games previous to that, the Bengals were impressive, easily beating Houston and New Orleans both on the road. This will be the first home game in three weeks so being back home after such a long absence is an advantage. This is pretty much it for Pittsburgh. A loss here would eliminate chances of a division title and put them in desperation for a wildcard spot. With Vontez Burfict back at linebacker and Giovani Bernard at running back, Cincinnati is getting healthy. Bengals St. Louis (-2.5) at Washington I remember saying this last year at this time even though they had a losing record: The Rams are a pretty good team. And I say it again. You see the Rams under Jeff Fisher improving. They win games in all different ways and win games dominating because of their defensive line. When Fisher was in Tennessee, he had Jevon Kearse as his top impact player. Now he has Robert Quinn. There is talk in Washington that over the last four weeks, it is Colt McCoy that will play to improve and not necessarily RG3. The Rams have won four of their last seven, including wins over Seattle, at San Francisco, Denver and destroying 0akland 52 to 0. Rams NY Giants at Tennessee (Pick) Not a whole lot to work with here. Both teams are out of the playoffs and the Giants have lost eight in a row. Last week against Jacksonville, they had a 21-0 lead but imploded and lost 25-24. That said, if Ryan Fitzpatrick can throw for 358 yards and six touchdown passes, Eli Manning should see an opportunity. The problem for New York is ball security, the problem for Tennessee is a defence that has allowed 88 points in the last two games. Giants Carolina at New 0rleans (-9.5) The NFC South is the oddest division in all of football. Both the Saints and Falcons are 5-7 but one of these two teams is going to the playoffs. The Falcons do have the tiebreaker, having beaten the Saints 37-34 way back in Week 1. So the Saints have a lot to play for as Atlanta plays the Packers in Green Bay. And now they play a Carolina team that has not scored a first half touchdown in eight straight games. If that trend continues, it could be an easy Saints win. If the Vikings can beat the Panthers 31-13 in the extreme cold, the Saints can do the same in a home dome. It is divisional but New Orleans still plays hard and has a goal of an NFC South title while Carolina has not won in eight weeks. Saints NY Jets at Minnesota (-6) Last weeks Monday night game was the Jets last high profile moment to regain respect and redemption but they lost, 16-13. In the first half alone, New York ran for 230 yards so Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer knows if he can stop that phase of football, he can stop the Jets cold, and it will be cold. Slightly misleading in the 31-13 win over Carolina was the two blocked punts for 14 points. Jets Baltimore at Miami (-3) This is a Who has the better pass rusher game. Can Cam Wake and Olivia Vernon outperform Terrell Suggs and Elvis Dumervil? It is so important for Baltimore to rush the passer effectively as going into this week,they are 31st-ranked in pass defence. Both teams are 7-5 but the road is easier for Baltimore with Jacksonville, at Houston and Cleveland at home. Miami has goes to New England (whom they they beat in Week 1), Minnesota and the Jets. Flacco over Tannehill; Ravens over Dolphins. Ravens Indianapolis (-3.5) at Cleveland Interesting game in a definite atmosphere advantage for the Browns. Starting Brian Hoyer or Johnny Manziel will be decided early in the week as that quarterback has to get the practice reps as much as possible. But there is no comparison to either quarterback and Andrew Luck. Trent Richardson would enjoy a big game against his former employer and also needs it. Daniel Heron, a 510, 212lbs second-year player from Ohio State has carried the ball 42 times for 227 yards for a 5.4 average per carry and a touchdown. Nice job by GM Ryan Grigson to find the free agent talent. Colts Tampa Bay at Detroit (-9.5) The points are a lot but the Lions can score a lot and quickly. Coming off the Thursday win against Chicago and at 8-4, the Lions have Tampa Bay, Minnesota, at Chicago and at Green Bay left. The Packers are 9-3 but if both teams win out, come Week 17 they will play for the NFC North title as Detroit won the first game, 19-7 in Week 3. The Packers have Atlanta, at Buffalo and at Tampa Bay, which are all winnable games. The Lions play their best at home. Lions Houston (-5) at Jacksonville The reason the Jaguars beat the Giants last week was because the Giants gave it away. The reason Houston dominated Tennessee was because Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for six touchdowns. The second star was DeAndre Hopkins with nine catches as the alternative to Andre Johnson. JJ Watt is a possible MVP candidate and his impact should be felt again. Texans Buffalo at Denver (-10) The Broncos have found a running game or, more specifically, a running back. CJ Anderson, a 58, 225lbs free agent in his second year, is more power back than make-you-miss guy but in only 98 carries, he has 536 yards. Significant running success will offset pass rush success and the Bills do have an exceptional defensive line. Defensively for Denver, they had their best game of the year. KC only ran 44 plays, Alex Smith was sacked six times and the offence was 1-for-9 on 3rd down. The Bills defence is coming off its best game of the year, holding the Browns to 17 yards on 12 plays in their first five possessions. There is a greater chance the Broncos repeat their excellence on defence against Kyle 0rton than the Bills do against Peyton Manning in Denver. Broncos Kansas City at Arizona (-1) Arizona has lost two in a row (at Seattle and at Atlanta) and will be without number 1 running back Andre Ellington. They are only one game up on Seattle and two games up on San Francisco with four games to go to win the NFC West. For Kansas City, they too have lost the last two (in 0akland and against Denver) and looked bad losing. In losing 29-18 to Atlanta, it was only the second time a team has scored more than 20 on the Cardinals defence. Arizona to blitz KC into submission and win by three. Cardinals Seattle at Philadelphia (-1) With Mark Sanchez at quarterback, the Philadelphia Eagles are 3-1 and have scored 35 points a game. But against a complete team like Green Bay, he looked average and regressed. Seattle is also a complete team, allowing only three points to the Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers. QB Russell Wilson is the teams second leading rusher and only 321 yards away from 1,000 yards on the season. What is critical is coming off the Thursday night win over the 49ers, the Seahawks have time to prepare for the unique style of the Eagles offence. The Eagles also have extra time but it benefits Seattle more than Philadelphia. In a close one, Seattle by three. Seattle San Francisco (-8) at Oakland I would not be surprised if Oakland won this one outright. The Raiders were humiliated 52-0 last week and if there is character and substance to the team, the effort, execution and pass protection will be better this week. And this is a sandwich game for the 49ers. Last week, they lost 19-3 loss to Seattle and next week, they have to go back to Seattle. Yes, first things first but it wont be easy. Raiders New England (-3.5) at San Diego I cant see New England losing two in a row. And the number one challenge to see that not happen is Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers. In the last three games (a 7-point win over 0akland, a 3-point win over St. Louis and a 1-point win at Baltimore), Rivers is completing 75 per cent of his passes and has put together two long fourth quarter drives to beat Baltimore. Rivers is not an Aaron Rodgers-type quarterback. He is a drive sustainer while Rodgers is big playmaker. I expect a better defensive game from New England this week. Green Bay had 368 passing yards, 130 rushing yards and were 10-of-17 on 3rd down. New England is tied with Denver at 9-3 and need homefield to have the AFC championship go through Gillette Stadium. Patriots Atlanta at Green Bay (-12) This will definitely be the coldest game the Falcons have played all season and as a dome team to the what may be brutal outdoors, advantage Green Bay. I expect the Packers to play a lot of zone, double up on Julio Jones and Roddy White and force Matt Ryan to beat them by systematically and incrementally going down the field. Ryan is coming off a 500-yard passing day against Arizona but Id would be surprised if he duplicated it. The Packers need this one. Philadelphia is 9-3 but Green Bay has beaten them and Arizona is 9-3. Also Detroit is 8-4 and has beaten the Packers already. Seattle is 8-4 and playing well. Homefield advantage is truly an advantage in Green Bay in January. 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He started with two birdies and added three more on his last five holes at the Oceanico Victoria course for an 18-under total of 266. Pierre Turgeon Jersey . -- Theres been so much talk about Mike Moustakas at the plate that the third baseman ignored the conversation Wednesday -- even after doing something positive.Michael Saunders used to daydream about playing for the Toronto Blue Jays.It wont be long before he gets to do it in real life.A day after Toronto acquired the Canadian outfielder in a deal with the Seattle Mariners, Saunders spoke about getting the opportunity to ply his trade on home soil.I think it was more of a storybook ending for me if you would, like One day it would be really cool if I was able to wear a Blue Jays uniform, Saunders said on a conference call Thursday. Theres 30 teams and the chances are slim that that would actually happen.Im honoured to be able to wear a Blue Jay uniform and Im very proud of that.The Victoria native, who spent 10 years with the Seattle organization, played for Canada at the World Baseball Classic in 2013 and said he understands the burden that comes with playing north of the border.Im a proud Canadian, said the 28-year-old, who cheered for the Blue Jays and Mariners growing up. If I was to get traded to a team I couldnt pick a better one than Toronto.Im extremely excited to play for the Blue Jays, but its not just about representing the Blue Jays, its about representing my country.Saunders, who was acquired for left-hander J.A. Happ, said he was at his daughters swimming lesson when he found out about the trade from Seattle general manager Jack Zduriencik.I was sitting there watching my daughter swim when I got the call, said Saunders. Last night was kind of a blur for me. There were so many mixed emotions. This is my first time going through a situation like this.Its expected Saunders will take over in left field for Melky Cabrera, who declined the Blue Jays US$15.3-million qualifying offer last month and is a free agent.An 11th round pick of Seattle back in 2004, Saunders said he spoke with both Toronto GM Alex Anthopoulos and manager John Gibbons soon after the deal was struck.I definitely got the feeling that I was wanted, said Saunders. Theyre just going to go out and let me play. I know that theres some talented outfielders in the organization and thats not to say Alex is finished making moves.But Im going to do everything I can to hold down the everyday left field job.Saunders hit .273 with eight home runs and 34 RBIs in 78 games last season while battling joint inflammation in his right shoulder and a strained left oblique.If you play the game hard sometimes you put yourself at risk to injure yourself by trying to make the play, he said. You do that for the team.dddddddddddd Youre playing for the team at that point, and the fans.While hes happy to be joining Toronto, Saunders doesnt leave Seattle on the best terms after Zduriencik criticized his ability to stay healthy for 162 games following the 2014 campaign.The comments came as a surprise. Im not going to lie to you, said Saunders. Im very confident in what I do in the off-season to prepare my body. I think the comments might have come out of frustration more than anything due to the fact we were one game away from going to the playoffs.Jack and I have had numerous conversations since then and there have been no hard feelings, but as far as calling my conditioning into question, (its) something I think is uncalled for. I work just as hard as anybody.In parts of six seasons, Saunders has a .231 average with 51 home runs, 182 RBIs and 54 stolen bases in 553 games, only becoming an everyday player at pitcher-friendly Safeco Field in 2012.I really think you learn more from failure than you do from success, he said. I know what I bring to the table and I try to continually get better at that. I just try to bring an all around game and do whatever I can to help the team win.Saunders has played well at Rogers Centre — a stadium known for its home runs — but he said joining Torontos potent lineup that includes Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Reyes and newly acquired Josh Donaldson and Russell Martin is what excites him the most.You have multiple all-stars, you have MVP finalists and guys that really know how to hit, he said. Theres certain people in the game that strike fear in you when youre on the opposing team, and theres a couple different guys in that lineup that do that.I think the first thing you see when you think of the Blue Jays is the power thats there. Theres no question theres a ton of power in the lineup, but not only that, theres professional hitters from 1 to 9.Saunders said he would always check the schedule to see when Seattle was coming to Toronto and added that his wife, Jessica, is also pleased about the move.I love the city, my wife loves the city. It was funny, when we first met we were discussing where to raise the kids and she said Absolutely not in Canada. Were raising them in the U.S., said Saunders. Then she came to visit me when we were on the road and she said OK, Ill let you raise the kids in one spot in Canada and thats Toronto. 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